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MARKET WATCH 25th OCT 2012 - AsianBookie.Com Forums

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Posted By Topic: MARKET WATCH 25th OCT 2012       - Views: 1077
stand up n wake up
25-Oct 2012 Thursday 11:50 AM (4202 days ago)               #1
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STI         3,045       -6      -0.20%
DOW       13,077     -26    -0.19%
S&P         1,409      -4       -0.29%
FTSE        5,805       +7     +0.12%
DAX         7,193        +19    +0.27%
GOLD       1,708        +6      +0.38%
OIL           85.79        +0.06   +0.07%
PRE-HK OPEN    -47pts

CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE (EQUITY): -0.15 (23 Oct 2012)
CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE              :   0.03 (23 Oct 2012)
 
 

25 Oct 2012 08:41

DJ MARKET TALK:STI Could Open Lower On US Econ Worries;3020-3058 Eyed 


 

0041 GMT [Dow Jones] Singapore's STI could open slightly lower, as concerns about the U.S. economy cap sentiment, but moves are likely to be muted Thursday ahead of a holiday-extended weekend. A report that Spain is ready to request a bailout for its banking sector "could support the market, but it won't give it a strong push as earnings season has been uninspiring," says Carey Wong, an analyst at OCBC Bank. The STI fell 0.2% Wednesday to end at 3044.73; the index will likely stick to a 3020-3058 range Thursday. Among stocks likely in focus, Singapore Airlines(C6L.SG) said it would acquire 25 new aircraft from Airbus in an order valued at US$7.5 billion. ARA Asset Management (D1R.SG) may be in focus after the Dynasty REIT it sponsored was suspended. But this could also exert a positive effect on the rest of the market, says Wong, as funds that would have been soaked up by the REIT could now look for other Singapore-listed opportunities. Cache Logistics Trust (K2LU.SG) reported 3Q12 DPU rose 2.3% on-year to 2.14 Singapore cents
 
 



25 Oct 2012 08:23

DJ MARKET TALK: Cache Logistics May Stall; 3Q12 DPU +2.3% On Year 

0023 GMT [Dow Jones] Cache Logistics Trust (K2LU.SG) may stall after reporting 3Q12 DPU rose 2.3% on year to 2.14 Singapore cents, as the stock's more than 28% year-to-date advance may limit any further upside. While 3Q12 net property income rose 12.9% to S$18.1 million on higher rental reversions and property acquisitions, expenses and financing costs came in at S$4.68 million, up 17.0% on year. Its portfolio of 12 properties, 11 in Singapore and one in Shanghai, had 100% occupancy. The stock last ended down 0.8% at S$1.22. The all-time high of S$1.27, tapped earlier this month, likely offers near-term resistance, while the S$1.20 zone likely offers support. 
 




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stand up n wake up
25-Oct 2012 Thursday 11:53 AM (4202 days ago)            #2
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Sunny Side Up: Hutchison Port Hldgs Trust: Chugging Along at the Core; Buy 
TP US$0.925 | Cache Logistics Trust: Good results but fairly valued; Hold  
TP $1.24 | Sheng Siong: Spot on track; Buy TP $0.52                        
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
 What’s cooking                                                            
                                                                           
 Hutchison Port Hldgs Trust: Chugging Along at the Core; Buy TP US$0.925   
                                                 HPHT SP | Mkt Cap USD7.1b 
 | ADTV USD14.4m                                                           
                                                                           
 Ø Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT) reported 3Q2012 core EBITDA of     
 HKD1.92b (-1% YoY), which was largely in line with ours and consensus     
 expectations.                                                             
 Ø Management guided that Development Capex deferrals would keep FY2012    
 Capex to ~HKD700m (vs FY2012 projection of ~HKD1.2b), allowing them       
 flexibility to maintain the FY2012 projected DPU of HKD51.2cts.           
 Ø We continue to like HPHT for its resilient earnings and attractive      
 dividend yields of 7.7-8.3% p.a. While current sentiment surrounding the  
 global economy remains tentative, we believe HPHT remains well poised to  
 benefit from an economic recovery. We leave our DDM assumptions largely   
 intact, and maintain our Target Price of USD0.925. Reiterate BUY.         
 Click here for full report                                                
 [email protected]                                             
                                                                           
 Cache Logistics Trust: Good results but fairly valued; Hold TP $1.24      
                                            CACHE SP | Mkt Cap USD699.3m | 
 ADTV USD1.2m                                                              
                                                                           
 Ø 3Q12 DPU at 2.144 SG-cts (+8% QoQ, +2% YoY) was 27% of ours and         
 consensus estimates. 9M12 DPU at 6.2.1 SG-cts (+1% YoY) was 77% of ours   
 and 74% of consensus estimates. Portfolio occupancy remains stable at     
 99.2% from 99% last quarter. MLT garnered 8% positive rental reversions   
 from leases renewed/replaced in 2QFY3/13,                                 
 Ø From our estimates, the implied cap rate for CACHE (based on 3Q12       
 results) is 6.2%. The counter is presently trading at 6.8% FY12 DPU       
 yield, which provides some 60 bps leeway for further yield compression,   
 in our view.                                                              
 Ø Nonetheless we remain wary of its inherent concentration risks on (1) a 
 single asset - Commodity Hub (38% of FY12 GAV) and (2) its main master    
 lessee (CWT/C&P). According to our estimates, CWT/C&P and its associated  
 companies accounts for almost 90% of CACHE’s FY12 gross rental income.    
 With further acquisitions unlikely given the run-up in capital values, we 
 see limited growth prospects moving forward. Reiterate HOLD with a TP of  
 SGD 1.24.                                                                 
 Click here for full report                                                
 [email protected]                                              
                                                                           
 Sheng Siong Group Ltd: Spot on track; Buy TP $0.52                        
                                                                           
                                 SSG SP | Mkt Cap USD536.7m | ADTV USD0.9m 
                                                                           
 Ø 3Q12 results are in-line with ours and consensus’s expectations. Sheng  
 Siong reported 3Q12 sales of SGD169.7m, up 16% YoY, and net profit of     
 9.8m, up 48.1% YoY.                                                       
 Ø Sheng Siong continues its push into the older housing estates and will  
 be opening two new stores in Ghim Moh and Clementi in 4Q12, adding an     
 additional 8,800 sq ft to its portfolio. By year-end, the group will have 
 33stores operating in Singapore.                                          
 Ø We are keeping our estimates intact and target price unchanged at       
 SGD0.52. Reiterate BUY.                                                   
 Click here for full report                                                
 [email protected]                                               
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
 Roadshows & events                                                        
 Regional                                                                  
                                                                           
                                                                           
 29 – 30 Oct                                                               
          SG                                                               
                     SP Setia Management Roadshow                          
 29 Oct – 2 Nov                                                            
          UK/Ireland Marketing                                             
                     Economics: Asia Macro                                 
 30 Oct                                                                    
          HK NDR                                                           
                     OSIM International                                    
 9 Nov                                                                     
          UK NDR                                                           
                     OSIM International                                    
 12-16 Nov                                                                 
          UK/US Marketing                                                  
                     Thai/Phil Strategy                                    
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
 Forthcoming results                                                       
 25-Oct                                                                    
     Ascendas India Trust | CapitaMalls Asia | CCT | China Merchants |     
     Frasers Commercial Trust | Mapletree Commercial Trust | Neptune       
     Orient Lines | Suntec REIT                                            
 29-Oct                                                                    
     First Ship Lease Trust | Treasury China Trust                         
 30-Oct                                                                    
     Broadway Industrial | CapitaLand | CDL Hospitality REIT | Fortune     
     REIT                                                                  
     Mun Siong Engineering | Rickmers Maritime | SIA Engineering           
 31-Oct                                                                    
     Indofood Agri Resources | SMRT | Tuan Sing Holdings | United Overseas 
     Insurance                                                             
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
 Visited last week*                                                        
 Company                                                                   
               Initial Impression                                          
                          Analyst                                          
 KSH Holdings                                                              
               Positive                                                    
                          Alison                                           
 Tiong Seng                                                                
               Positive                                                    
                          Alison                                           
 SPH                                                                       
               Positive                                                    
                          Wei Bin                                          
 Ascendas REIT                                                             
               Positive                                                    
                          Kian Lin                                         
 Mapletree Logisitics Trust                                                
               Positive                                                    
                          Kian Lin                                         
 Courts Asia                                                               
               Positive                                                    
                          Alison                                           
                                                                           
* includes conference calls                                                
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
                                                                           
 Visiting soon                                                             
 Sino Grandness                                                            
          25-27 Oct                                                        
                Wei Bin                                                    
 Sheng Siong                                                               
          29-Oct                                                           
                Alison                                                     
                                                                           
                                                                           




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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stand up n wake up
25-Oct 2012 Thursday 11:55 AM (4202 days ago)            #3
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Attachment Thu, Oct 25, 2012 at 9:49 AM
                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                                     
MARKET PULSE: Cache, First REIT, LMIRT, Sheng Siong, SIA, CRCT                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                         25 Oct 2012 
                                                                                                                                                     
KEY IDEA                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                     
Cache Logistics Trust: Strong predictable showing                                                                                                    
Cache Logistics Trust (CACHE) turned in a good set of 3Q12 results that were consistent with our expectations. DPU for the quarter edged up 2.3% to  
2.144 S cents, notwithstanding an enlarged unit base from private placement done in end-Mar. As at 30 Sep, portfolio occupancy remained at 100%,     
while weighted average lease to expiry stood sturdy at 4.1 years. CACHE’s financial position has also remained healthy. While aggregate leverage     
increased from 27.5% in 2Q to 32.6%, all-in financing costs improved from 4.38% to 3.57%, thanks to refinancing exercise at the end of 2Q. In        
addition, this has also improved its debt maturity profile and increased the amount of committed line of funding, thereby strengthening its          
financial flexibility significantly. We are leaving our forecasts intact as the results had panned out according to our estimates. However, we raise 
our fair value slightly from S$1.26 to S$1.30 on firmer cap rate assumptions. Maintain BUY. (Kevin Tan)                                              
                                                                                                                                                     
MORE REPORTS                                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                     
First REIT: Another quarter of steady execution                                                                                                      
First REIT (FREIT) reported 3Q12 results which were in line with our expectations. Gross revenue increased 3.7% YoY to S$14.2m due to higher         
contribution from all its properties. Distributable amount to unitholders and DPU slipped 12.1% and 12.5%YoY to S$10.6m and 1.68 S cents             
respectively, but this was due to the absence of a special distribution which occurred in 3Q11. Looking ahead, FREIT continues to see ample growth   
opportunities in Indonesia’s underserved healthcare market. The group would seek approval from its unitholders during an EGM for its proposed        
acquisition of two Indonesian properties from its sponsor Lippo Karawaci. While we like FREIT for its visible and defensive income streams which     
would provide stability to unitholders, we believe that this has been factored in its share price, as reflected by its FY13F P/B ratio of 1.3x.      
Maintain HOLD with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$0.98. (Wong Teck Ching Andy)                                                                
                                                                                                                                                     
Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust: Proposal for two more acquisitions                                                                               
LMIRT has announced the proposed acquisitions of two retail properties, Pejaten Village, located in Jakarta, and Binjai Supermall, located in        
Binjai, North Sumatra. The purchase consideration for Pejaten Village is IDR748.0b (~S$96.0m). The purchase consideration for Binjai Supermall is    
IDR237.5b (~S$30.5m). Apart from the financing the acquisitions from the proceeds raised from the issuance of S$250m worth of notes in early Jul,    
LMIRT will need to raise additional funds. These two proposed acquisitions come shortly after the announcement of the proposed acquisitions of four  
properties on 10 Oct. The completion of the acquisitions of Palembang Square Extension and KJI took place on 15 Oct, half a month earlier than what  
we expected. Adjusting our model, we raise our fair value from S$0.45 to S$0.47, and maintain our HOLD rating on LMIRT. (Sarah Ong)                  
                                                                                                                                                     
Sheng Siong Group: The ascension continues                                                                                                           
Sheng Siong Group (SSG) registered a stellar set of 3Q12 results that came in well within our expectations. 3Q12 revenue grew 16.0% YoY to S$169.7m  
on the back of higher comparable same store sales and increased number of stores while net profit jumped 48.1% YoY to S$9.8m on operational          
efficiencies with the new Mandai Link Distribution Centre. SSG also recorded a third consecutive quarter of gross profit margin recovery (3Q12:      
22.9% vs. 2Q12: 21.9%). Entering the seasonally weaker 4Q12, SSG will add an additional two stores in Ghim Moh and Clementi – locales with minimal   
competition and sizeable resident populations – and will end the year with 33 stores. With favourable responses to its store openings, we expect SSG 
to close out the year on a strong note. Maintain BUY with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$0.49. (Lim Siyi)                                     
                                                                                                                                                     
Singapore Airlines: Spends US$7.5b to increase fleet                                                                                                 
As part of its efforts to maintain a young and modern fleet, SIA announced yesterday that it will spend US$7.5b on five Airbus A380s and 20 A350s    
(delivery of the new planes to begin in 2017), which will bring its total firm purchases and lease orders in place with Airbus and Boeing to 68 new  
wide-body aircraft. However, as part of this new order, Airbus will acquire SIA’s five A340s. These planes are currently deployed in the non-stop,   
long-haul flight sectors between Singapore and the United States (Newark, New Jersey and Los Angeles, California respectively), and their impending  
removal will mark the cessation of these services in 4QCY2013 although services to the US will still be available via Tokyo and Frankfurt. On a      
related note, SIA also announced that it will transfer 20 B787 planes on firm order (due for delivery from 2014) to its low-cost subsidiary, Scoot,  
to aid in its expansion growth and to replace its existing B777 fleet. While the order is a sizable one, we are neutral on its impact given the      
delivery timeframe of the planes. Pending its 2QFY13 results release on 2 Nov, we maintain our HOLD rating with an unchanged fair value estimate of  
S$10.85. (Lim Siyi)                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                     
CapitaRetail China Trust: Private placement of 57m units                                                                                             
CRCT has announced the private placement of 57m new units, raising gross proceeds of ~S$86.1m. The private placement was upsized from the original   
offer of S$75.0m, due to strong demand from over 30 existing and new investors from Asia, the United States and Europe. In connection with the       
private placement, the manager of CRCT intends to declare an advanced distribution of CRCT’s distributable income for the period from 1 Jul to 1 Nov 
2012, the day immediately prior to the date on which the new units will be issued, to existing unitholders of CRCT. The new units will not be        
entitled to the advanced distribution. The issue price of S$1.51 per new unit represents a discount of ~5.8% to CRCT’s adjusted volume weighted      
average price of S$1.603 per unit on the full market day on 24 Oct 2012 and subtracting the advanced distribution of approximately 3.22 S cents per  
unit. The manager of CRCT says that the private placement strengthens the balance sheet and provides greater capacity for potential growth           
opportunities. We place our fair value of S$1.71 and Buy rating UNDER REVIEW. (Sarah Ong)                                                            
                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                     
For more information on the above, visit 
www.ocbcresearch.comfor the detailed report.                                                                
                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                     
NEWS HEADLINES                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                     
- US stocks extended their losses on Wednesday, with the Dow falling 0.2%, while the S&P500 Index and the Nasdaq both ended 0.3% lower. The Fed is   
concerned that economic growth remains weak and will maintain its QE3 asset-purchase programme until the labour market improves substantially.       
                                                                                                                                                     
- Triyards Holdings' PATMI for the year ended 31 Aug rose 421% to US$44.1m, as revenue rose 223% to US$366.9m. The strong performance was driven by  
the completion of existing vessel construction projects as well as the start of new landmark projects.                                               
                                                                                                                                                     
- Hwa Hong Corp's 3Q12 PATMI fell 16.1% YoY to S$2.0m despite a 3.1% rise in revenue to S$9.5m, due mainly to higher general and administrative      
costs.                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                     
- Pertama Holdings expects to report a loss for 1Q13 due to start-up expenses of new stores in Malaysia and lower consumer electronics prices.       
                                                                                                                                                     
- Boustead Singapore will invest S$20.1m in a joint venture with a consortium of investors to develop an integrated real estate project in Tongzhou, 
Beijing.                                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                     

 

 

This message was edited by stand up n wake up on 25-Oct-2012 @ 11:58 AM




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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Fw: USA : U.S. Stocks Decline to Seven-Week Low as Fed Offsets Economy : Bloomberg

   Inbox
  Thu, Oct 25, 2012 at 9:49 AM


U.S. Stocks Decline to Seven-Week Low as Fed Offsets Economy
2012-10-24 20:30:29.563 GMT


By Rita Nazareth
  Oct. 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined, sending the
Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a seven-week low, as the Federal
Reserve’s call for moderate growth offset signs of improvement
in Chinese factory output and America’s housing market.
  Netflix Inc. plunged 12 percent after the world’s largest
online video service cut its forecast for domestic growth.
Altera Corp. slumped 8.4 percent as the maker of programmable
chips used in phone systems predicted sales that fell short of
estimates. D.R. Horton Inc. and Toll Brothers Inc. added at
least 1.5 percent to pace gains in homebuilders. ******** Inc.,
the world’s biggest social networking site, surged 19 percent
after reporting sales that topped analysts’ projections.
  The S&P 500 declined 0.3 percent to 1,408.75 at 4 p.m. New
York time, dropping 1.8 percent in two days. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average lost 25.19 points, or 0.2 percent, to
13,077.34. Volume for exchange-listed stocks in the U.S. was 6.1
billion shares, or about in line with the three-month average.
  “It’s been a pretty lackluster market,” Walter “Bucky”
Hellwig, who helps manage $17 billion of assets at BB&T Wealth
Management in Birmingham, Alabama, said in a telephone
interview. “There’s nothing new or encouraging in terms of the
Fed’s outlook regarding the economy. In addition to that, top
line growth of companies has been disappointing.”
  Equities erased gains as the Fed said the economy is still
growing modestly and unemployment remains elevated as it
maintains $40 billion in monthly purchases of mortgage-backed
securities aimed at spurring the three-year expansion. An
earlier advance was driven by a survey signaling a smaller
contraction in China’s manufacturing. Purchases of new homes in
the U.S. rose to the highest level in more than two years.

                     Earnings Season

  Forty-four companies in the S&P 500 were scheduled to
release results today. Earnings at about 69 percent of the
index’s companies beat analysts’ estimates, according to data
compiled by Bloomberg. Third-quarter sales missed forecasts at
60 percent of companies, according to data compiled by
Bloomberg, the data showed.
  Concern about a worsening of the earnings picture has sent
the S&P 500 down 3.9 percent from this year’s high on Sept. 14.
The decline has extended its October loss to 2.2 percent after
the index capped four straight months of gains. The benchmark
measure is still up 12 percent in 2012 on speculation central
bankers will keep economies expanding.
  Netflix lost 12 percent to $60.12. The company is counting
on its profitable U.S. streaming and mail-order DVD businesses
to pay for overseas growth, a plan analysts question with
dwindling gains at home.

                      Switching Away

  Altera retreated 8.4 percent to $29.89. Two customers are
switching away from Altera’s processors to alternatives, the
company said on a conference call with analysts yesterday.
That’s taking a bite out of fourth-quarter revenue. One of the
customers is Huawei Technologies Co., China’s biggest maker of
telecommunications-network equipment, representing $150 million
in lost sales, according to a report by Chris Danely, an analyst
at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
  IAC/InterActiveCorp slid 8.4 percent to $48. The company
founded by Barry Diller forecast a 2013 operating loss for units
that include Newsweek, which it plans to convert to an online-
only publication after 80 years of print.
  Eli Lilly & Co. lost 2.7 percent to $50.50 after reporting
third-quarter earnings that missed analyst estimates after
generic competition reduced revenue from the schizophrenia
treatment Zyprexa, once the company’s top-selling drug.

                      Mattress Maker

  Tempur-Pedic International Inc. plunged 19 percent to
$25.66. The mattress maker acquiring rival Sealy Corp. cut its
2012 profit forecast amid increased U.S. competition and
weakening sales in Europe.
  Brinker International Inc. sank 10 percent to $30.01. The
owner of the Chili’s and Maggiano’s dining chains forecast
profit that was less than analysts estimated.
  A measure of 11 homebuilders in S&P indexes added 1
percent. D.R. Horton advanced 1.5 percent to $21.41. Toll
Brothers increased 2 percent to $35.25.
  ******** surged 19 percent to $23.23. Ads delivered to
people on mobile devices generated about $150 million during the
quarter, or 14 percent of all advertising revenue. That compares
with about $10 million in the second quarter, according to an
estimate by Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research Group.
The shares were raised to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus & Co.
  Dow Chemical Co. climbed 4.7 percent to $29.88. The
chemical producer eliminating 2,400 jobs to cope with a slowing
economy reported better-than-expected earnings as volumes rose
and plastics output benefited from low-cost natural gas.

                     Higher Forecast

  Lockheed Martin Corp. increased 2.1 percent to $93.92. The
world’s largest defense contractor said third-quarter profit
rose 9.3 percent and raised its full-year earnings forecast. The
company also projected a decline in 2013 sales.
  US Airways Group Inc. jumped 2.3 percent to $12.37. The
carrier that wants to merge with American Airlines said third-
quarter profit more than doubled as passenger traffic increased
and the price it paid for jet fuel declined.
  Molina Healthcare Inc. rallied 14 percent to $25.81. The
insurer specializing in Medicaid plans for the poor reported a
profit on improved results from its biggest market.
  Yelp Inc. climbed 7.4 percent to $25.77. The U.S. website
that lets users review businesses ranging from plumbers to pet
shops announced an acquisition to expand in Europe and reported
sales that topped estimates.
  The S&P 500 will advance 5 percent to about 1,480 over the
next two weeks before the rally ends and stocks fall, according
to Tom DeMark, the creator of indicators to show turning points
in securities.

                        Above High

  The gain would push the benchmark index above the 2012
intraday high of 1,474.51 reached on Sept. 14 before buyers are
exhausted, said DeMark, whose prediction last year that the S&P
500’s decline would stop at 1,076 proved prescient when the
index bottomed at 1,074.77 on Oct. 4, 2011. The advance will
fizzle, with the S&P 500 heading for a potential decline of 12
percent to 17 percent, he said in an e-mailed statement.
  “There is still some unfinished business upside that will
totally surprise and shock most market followers,” DeMark, the
founder of Market Studies LLC, wrote. The S&P 500 “rally is a
solo move in a sense that the overall market trend has been down
since Sept. 14,” he wrote.

For Related News and Information:
Developed Markets View: DMMV <GO>
Emerging Markets View: EMMV <GO>
Stock Market Map: IMAP G <GO>
World Equity Markets: WEI <GO>
World Bond Markets: WB <GO>
World Currency Ranker: WCRS 1 <GO>
Commodity Ranked Returns: CRR1 <GO>
CDS Sector Graph: GCDS <GO>
World Trends and Reversals: WTR <GO>
Graphing: GRAPH <GO>

--With assistance from Jonathan Morgan in Frankfurt and and Lu
Wang in New York. Editor: Jeff Sutherland

 




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Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
KEY STORY
 
Hong Kong
Strategy                                                                                    Page 17
HKMA expects net inflows into the Hong Kong dollar to continue. We list our stock picks among the 
financials and developers, should the liquidity-driven rally continue.
 
CHINA Sector
Glass                                                                                               
 Page 3
Bottoming out.
Results
China Coal Energy (1898 HK/BUY/HK$7.86/Target: HK$9.50)                       Page 5
3Q12: Better than expectations. Upgrade to BUY on cost control.
China Overseas Land (688 HK/BUY/HK$19.78/Target: HK$20.70)               Page 8
3Q12: Sturdy as always.
 
Key Indices
 
Prev Close    1D %   1W %     1M %   YTD %
DJIA                    13077.3     (0.2)      (3.5)       (3.6)         7.0
S&P 500               1408.8    (0.3)      (3.6)       (3.3)       12.0
FTSE 100             5804.8       0.1      (1.8)       (0.6)         4.2
AS30                     4530.6    (0.8)      (0.4)         3.1       10.2
CSI 300                2307.8    (0.2)        0.3         4.4       (1.6) FSSTI                   
3044.7    (0.2)      (0.0)       (0.7)       15.1
HSCEI                 10638.7    (1.0)        2.6         9.2         7.1
HSI                      21763.8       0.3        2.6         5.1       18.1
JCI                        4335.4       0.1      (0.0)         2.6       13.4
KLCI                     1668.0       0.2        0.4         3.1         9.0
KOSPI                  1914.0    (0.7)      (2.1)       (3.9)         4.8
Nikkei 225             8954.3    (0.7)        1.7       (1.5)         5.9
SET                       1295.0    (1.2)        0.6         0.6       26.3
TWSE                   7314.9    (0.3)      (2.0)       (5.4)         3.4
BDI                           1088    (1.9)        8.9       40.9     (37.4) CPO (RM/mt)           
2333    (1.0)        1.0       (9.9)     (26.2) Nymex Crude
(US$/bbl)                   86       0.1      (6.8)       (6.1)     (13.2)
Source: Bloomberg
 
   Top BUYs/SELLs                                       
 
Current    Target         Pot Company                  Ticker            Price      Price          
+/- (lcy)       (lcy)         (%)
 
 
Huaneng Power International (902 HK/BUY/HK$6.01/Target: HK$7.00) Page 11
3Q12: Net profit up 65% qoq. Maintain BUY on further earnings growth potential.
Update
CNOOC (883 HK/BUY/HK$16.04/Target: HK$17.60)                                         Page 14
3Q12  output  rebounds  by  8.5%  yoy.  Maintain  BUY  on  sustainable production rebound.
HONG KONG Sector
Strategy                                                                                          
Page 17
HKMA expects net inflows into the Hong Kong dollar to continue. We list our stock picks among the 
financials and developers, should the liquidity-
driven rally continue.
INDONESIA Results
Bank Jabar Banten (BJBR IJ/BUY/Rp1,110/Target: Rp1,350)                     Page 19
3Q12: 9M12 net profit slightly above expectations on strong loan growth and lower effective tax 
rate.
MALAYSIA Update
Malaysian Resources Corporation Berhad                                Page 22
(MRC MK/BUY/RM1.73/Target: RM2.03)
We smell a deal. Maintain BUY.
SINGAPORE Sector
Aviation                                                                                          
Page 25
2QFY13 earnings preview and SIA’s US$7.5b fleet renewal.
Results
Cache Logistics Trust (CACHE SP/BUY/S$1.22/Target: S$1.41)                    Page 27
3Q12: Resilient high-yielding logistics pick.
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP/BUY/US$0.82/Target: US$0.89) Page 30
3Q12:  Earnings  miss  projection  again  but  full-year  DPU  guidance  is achieveable.
Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP/HOLD/S$1.40/Target: S$1.55)        Page 33
2QFY13: Strong portfolio reversions but some vacancy risks ahead.
 
Top BUYs
China Mobile              941 HK           87.35    100.00        14.5
Kunlun Energy           135 HK           13.88      16.80        21.0
Sinopharm                 1099 HK         25.65      28.20          9.9
Multi-Purpose Hldgs  MPU MK          3.63        4.20        15.7
DBS                           DBS SP          13.99      19.45        39.0
Krung Thai Bank        KTB TB          18.40      21.75        18.2
PTT                            PTT TB        314.00    405.00        29.0
Top SELLs
China Merchants Hldgs  144 HK           25.60      19.60     (23.4) Tiger Airways             TGR 
SP           0.74        0.51     (31.1)
 
 
Key Assumptions
2011    2012F     2013F GDP (% yoy)
US                                                        1.7          1.5          1.5
Euro Zone                                            1.4       (0.5)          0.4
Japan                                                 (0.8)          2.0          1.5
Singapore                                            4.9          2.0          3.0
Malaysia                                               5.1          5.0          4.7
Thailand                                               0.1          6.0          3.4
Indonesia                                             6.5          6.1          6.3
Hong Kong                                           5.0          1.5          3.5
China                                                   9.3          7.6          8.0
2011    2012F     2013F
WTI                         (US$/bbl)           97.5         102         111
Aluminium               (US$/mt)          2,420      1,993      1,963
Copper                    (US$/mt)          8,851      7,865      8,225
Gold Price London  (US$/ounce)    1,568      1,645      1,775
Iron Ore                   (USc/dmtu)         168         126         128
CPO                        (US$/mt)          1,025      1,030      1,110
BDI                                                   1,548      1,700      1,800
Source: Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian
 
Corporate Events
 
Venue               Beg    Close
Hong Leong Industries                     Kuala Lumpur  25 Oct   25 Oct
Corporate Presentation
Anton Oilfield                                  Shanghai        26 Oct   26 Oct
Corporate Roadshow
Sabana Shari'ah Compliant REIT      Kuala Lumpur  29 Oct   29 Oct
Corporate Roadshow
CDL Hospitality Trusts                     Singapore       30 Oct   30 Oct
Brunch
Venture Corporation                        Singapore        9 Nov    9 Nov
Corporate Roadsho
 




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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
 
 
 
Update
Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$7.72/Target: S$9.30)                       Page 36
New projects to take off in 2013. Upgrade to BUY.
THAILAND Strategy
Small Caps                                                                                     Page 
39
AMATA and AI are expected to post strong growth next year. However, share prices have not yet fully 
reflected the good news.
Update
Thai Union Frozen Products (TUF TB/BUY/Bt72.25/Target: Bt90.00)     Page 41
3Q12 earnings may increase slightly yoy but should rise significantly qoq.
 




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Glass – China
 
 
Bottoming Out
 
Leading indicators show demand for float glass will resume momentum in
2013. We do not see numerous non-operating lines being restarted in the near term. With supply side 
under control, we expect supply-demand dynamics to keep improving in 2013. To play safe, Xinyi is 
our pick. China Glass may look more interesting for risk takers. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
 
What’s New
     Early signs  of demand bottoming out. Although property investment growth is still at a low 
level, property new start floor space has started to
bottom out. Growth in property floor space sold usually leads growth in new
Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
OVERWEIGHT Sector Update
 
Top Sector Picks
Company                      Rec        Target     Share (Ticker)                                   
       Price       Price (HK$)      (HK$)
China Glass(3300 HK)  BUY           1.45        1.09
 Xinyi Glass (868 HK)     BUY           5.50        4.46
Source: UOB Kay Hian
 
Price Charts
 
CHINA GLASS HOLDI
 
floor space started by 5-6 months. With floor space sold turning around, we expect new start 
construction to pick up in 2Q13. We believe once policies over long-term property development gain 
clarity, new start construction is set to resume its strong momentum. As property glass demand 
accounts for more than 75% of float glass demand, we expect industry supply- demand dynamics to 
keep improving in 2013.
 
     Near-term float glass price on uptrend. Float glass prices in southern China hit a trough in 
2Q12. We have seen float glass hikes nationwide since Sep 12. In the cities we monitor, float glass 
price has shown a 0.7-
5.0% increase. On the other hand, producers’ inventories conti
Volum e (m )
 
China Glass Holdings Ltd/HSI 
 
decline in Oct 12. Our recent talks with float glass producers indicate that gross margins in most 
regions have bounced back above 10% vs losses in
1Q12. Inventory has shrunk by 10-15% as compared with Aug 12. Given near-term weather conditions, 
float glass price will most likely remain at
current levels in 4Q12 and may continue its uptrend in 1H13.
 
Essential
     Supply-side additions limited. One of the major market concerns is the restart of existing 
non-operating lines given the recent glass price hike. As
of  10  October,  32.7%  of  float  glass  production  lines  in  China  had
suspended production or were under maintenance. Restart of production
 
Oct 11      Dec 11      Feb 12      Ap r 12      Jun 12      Aug 12
 
Source: Bloomberg
 
XINYI GLASS HOLDINGS LTD
(lcy)
Xinyi Glass Holdings Ltd/HSI Index
5.50
 
lines usually costs an additional Rmb50m-60m. We believe the impact of production resumption will 
be felt as late as in 2H13. Recent industry producer   meetings   led  by   industry   associations 
  reveal   supply-side discipline and major leaders are positive on the demand outlook. We do not 
foresee numerous non-operating lines being restarted in the near term.
 
Action
     Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We value Xinyi Glass’s target price at HK$5.50 based on 14.7x 12-month 
forward PE, in line with historical average. We
believe the recent share repurchase by management reaffirms the bottoming of the industry as well 
as the share price. This move indicates
management’s confidence and signals that the fundamentals are turning
around. Investors’ concerns over Och Ziff’s share offloading may fade away.
 
Peer Comparison
 
 
60      Volum e (m )
40
20
0
Oct 11      Dec 11      Feb 12      Ap r 12      Jun 12      Aug 12
 
Source: Bloomberg
 
 
Share      Target     Market        --------------PE--------------        ------EV/EBITDA-----      
    P/B
Company      Ticker          Rec         Price        Price         Cap        2011F      2012F     
 2013F       2012F         2013F         2011F           ROE (HK$)       (HK$)      (US$m)        
(x)           (x)           (x)             (x)               (x)               (x)               
(%)
China Glas     3300 HK           BUY      1.09          1.45           218           7.1          
n.a.         23.7           n.a.            16.6             0.6              (5.4) Xinyi Glass     
868 HK             BUY      4.46          5.50        2,173         18.3         14.6         10.1  
        10.2              7.6             1.9               13.2
                                                          
                                




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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
     We value China Glass at 1x 2012F P/B to derive HK$1.45. We think the book value is justified 
given the company’s near-term prospects and long- term  development  strategy.  Although  the  
group  suffered  during  the industry downturn in 1H12, the group’s strategy - to transform from a 
pure float glass producer into a producer of Low-E glass and TCO glass – would still have boosted 
profitability in 1H12.
 
     We still prefer Xinyi Glass to China Glass. We think investors are still keen on liquid plays 
with strong financial positions at the current stage. Given its dismal profitability and lower 
liquidity, China Glass may need more time to woo back investors. It can be a major turnaround play 
when: a) its financing  problems  have  been  solved,  and  b)  government  policies  to boost 
Low-E glass consumption have been introduced.
 
Risks
     a) Significant investment slowdown in the property sector, b) oversupply caused by 
faster-than-expected pace in capacity growth, c) further government austerity policies to dampen 
property demand, and d) surge
in prices of oil and soda ash.
 




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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Stock Impact
     In our last update note issued in 23 August, we expressed concern over
 
 
Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
China   Spot   Coal   Prices   And   Port
Inventory
possible rising cash cost with the commission of Pingshu east mine. The
3Q12 results show that the blended cash cost was not under upside pressure, implying China Coal has 
implemented effective cost control on raw material and labour during the quarter. 3Q12 cash cost in 
our calculation declined by 27.5% yoy and 26.2% qoq. 9M12 cash cost fell by
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
900
850
800
750
700
650
 
QHD Port Inventory (mt) (RHS)              QHD Spot Coal (Rmb/t) (LHS)
 
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
 
6.8% yoy.
 
     With  port  inventory  on  the  decline  and  gradual  economic  recovery (indicated by a 
slowed contraction in the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)) and reduced oversupply risks (with 
subdued imports), we expect coal prices recovery will be underway. We keep our 2013 and 2014 coal 
prices largely unchanged, forecasting price to stay flat (edge down 1% yoy) in 2013 and up slightly 
(by 4% yoy) in 2014.
 
Earnings Revision/Risk
     We revised up our 2013 and 2014 earnings forecasts by 2.2% and 5.9%
respectively on downward revision of cash cost forecast.
 
Valuation/Recommendation
     We upgrade China Coal to BUY from HOLD and raise our target price  to  HK$9.50  based  on  
11x  2013F  PE.  Currently trading at 9x
2013F PE, we think China Coal is undervalued in view of its reduced earnings risks (its cost 
control efforts and product mix optimization) and
coal price recovery. Our target price is based on 11x 2013F PE, still at a
discount to its PE average of 12.5x since 2009.
 
600                                                                                                 
                    -
Source: Sxcoal
 
QHD Price Premium To Seaborne Coal
Price
China QHD Coal Price Premium/(Discount) to Newcastle Coal
Equivalent CFR GZ
 
30.00
20.00
10.00
- (10.00) (20.00) (30.00) (40.00)
 
 
Source: Sxcoal, Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian
 
China Coal’s PE Band
(x)
24.0
 
Share Price Catalyst
     Faster-than-expected  coal  price  recovery.  Depending  on  how  fast China economy can 
recover, coal price is sensitive to power generation growth as well as an economic recovery. If 
coal price recovers faster than
our expectations in 2013, then further upward earnings is possible.
 
    Continuous efforts in cash cost control. We have lowered our cost forecast by 5.0% and 5.2% to 
Rmb202/tonne in 2012 and Rmb209/tonne in 2013. If the cash cost in 2012 and 2013 were lower than 
our expectations, then upward earnings revision is likely.
 
 
 
19.0
 
14.0
 
9.0
 
4.0
 
 
Source: Bloomber
+2 Std
+1 Std
Mean
-1 Std
-2 Std
 




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Regional Morning Notes
 
Thursday, October 25, 2012
 
 
Profit & Loss                                                                                      
Balance Sheet
Year to 31 Dec (Rmbm)                           2011          2012F          2013F          2014F   
         Year to 31 Dec (Rmbm)                    2011          2012F          2013F          2014F 
Net turnover                                          87,773         79,573         88,188bet         
96,065            Fixed assets                                    60,254         79,870         
98,005       109,809
EBITDA                                                  18,460         19,233         21,070        
 24,425            Other LT assets                               43,568         43,319         
43,090         42,882
Deprec. & amort.                                      4,727           6,000           7,480         
  8,812            Cash/ST investment                        20,879         23,043         12,661   
        9,821
EBIT                                                       13,733         13,233         13,590     
    15,613            Other current assets                        35,233         33,212         
35,354         37,134
Total other non-operating income               191              100              200              
100            Total assets                                  159,933       179,443       189,111    
   199,647
Associate contributions                               295              367              387         
     407            ST debt                                              2,623         17,373       
  17,123         16,873
Net interest income/(expense)                  (177)            (342)            (783)         
(1,091)            Other current liabilities                     26,156         23,749         
26,298         28,496
Pre-tax profit                                         14,042         13,358         13,394         
15,030            LT debt                                            26,411         26,411         
26,411         26,411
Tax                                                         (3,383)         (3,340)         (3,348) 
        (3,757)            Other LT liabilities                              7,692           7,692  
         7,692           7,692
Minorities                                                   (857)            (816)            
(818)            (918)            Shareholders' equity                        81,745         88,097 
        94,647       102,317
Net profit                                                 9,802           9,203           9,227    
     10,354            Minority interest                               14,220         15,036        
 15,853         16,771
Net profit (adj.)                                          9,802           9,203           9,227    
     10,354            Total liabilities & equity              159,933       179,443       189,111  
     199,647
 
 
Cash Flow                                                                                           
Key Metrics
Year to 31 Dec (Rmbm)                           2011          2012F          2013F          2014F   
         Year to 31 Dec (%)                            2011          2012F          2013F          
2014F Operating                                              14,698         15,265         17,545   
      20,095            Profitability
Pre-tax profit                                           14,042         13,358         13,394       
  15,030            EBITDA margin                                    21.0             24.2          
   23.9             25.4
Tax                                                         (3,213)         (3,385)         (3,339) 
        (3,330)            Pre-tax margin                                     16.0             16.8 
            15.2             15.6
Deprec. & amort.                                      4,727           6,000           7,480         
  8,812            Net margin                                           11.2             11.6       
      10.5             10.8
Associates                                                (295)            (367)            (387)   
         (407)            ROA                                                       6.9             
  5.4               5.3               5.8
Working capital changes                           (486)            (341)              398           
   (10)            ROE                                                     12.6             10.8    
         10.5             11.3
Non-cash items                                               0                  0                  
0                  0
Other operating cashflows                          (78)                  0                  0       
           0            Growth
Investing                                             (35,178)       (25,000)       (25,000)       
(20,000)            Turnover                                              24.9             (9.3)    
         10.8               8.9
Capex (growth)                                                0                  0                  
0                  0            EBITDA                                               28.9           
    4.2               9.6             15.9
Capex (maintenance)                          (19,911)       (25,000)       (25,000)       (20,000)  
          Pre-tax profit                                        27.7             (4.9)              
 0.3             12.2
Investments                                           (6,077)                  0                  0 
                 0            Net profit                                              31.3          
   (6.1)               0.3             12.2
Proceeds from sale of assets                        44                  0                  0        
          0            Net profit (adj.)                                     31.3             (6.1) 
              0.3             12.2
Others                                                    (9,234)                  0                
  0                  0            EPS                                                     31.3      
       (6.1)               0.3             12.2
Financing                                              18,443         11,899         (2,927)        
 (2,934)
Dividend payments                                (2,073)         (2,851)         (2,677)         
(2,684)            Leverage
Issue of shares                                                0                  0                 
 0                  0            Debt to total capital                              23.2            
 29.8             28.3             26.7
Proceeds from borrowings                     21,671         15,000                  0               
   0            Debt to equity                                      35.5             49.7           
  46.0             42.3
Loan repayment                                     (1,395)            (250)            (250)        
    (250)            Net debt/(cash) to equity                     10.0             23.5            
 32.6             32.7
Others/interest paid                                     240                  0                  0  
                0            Interest cover (x)                                104.5             
56.2             26.9             22.4
Net cash inflow (outflow)                    (2,037)           2,164       (10,382)         (2,84
 
Beginning cash & cash equivalent
 
 
22,922         20,879         23,043         12,66
 
Changes due to forex impact                        (7)                  0                  0        
          0
Ending cash & cash equivalent          20,879         23,043         12,661           9,821
 




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Retail Market Monitor
www.uobkayhian.com.sg                                                                               
         25 October 201
 
Market News
 
The FSSTI declined 0.2% to 3,044.7 as US and European markets fell overnight. Frasers Centrepoint 
Trust rose as much as 1.8% to a record high after it reported fourth quarter distribution per unit 
of 2.71 S cents, 15.3% higher than a year ago. The broader market saw 157 gainers and 249 losers, 
with trading value amounting to S$1.13b.
 
US stocks closed lower on Monday after the Federal Reserve left policies on hold as expected. The 
DJIA declined 0.2% to
13,077 and the S&P 500 index declined 0.3% to 1,409.
 
 
 
Last close: 3,044.7 (-0.2%)
 
 
Stocks on the move…
 
Aviation – 2QFY13 Results Preview And SIA’s US$7.5b
Fleet Renewal
We  provide  the  earnings  forecast  for  Singapore  aviation stocks…
 
Cache Logistics Trust (CACHE SP) – 3Q12: Resilient High- yielding Logistics Pick
(BUY/S$1.22/Target: S$1.41)
Results in line with expectations…
 
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPHT SP) – 3Q12: Earnings Missed Projection Again But Full-year DPU 
Guidance Is Achievable
(BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$0.89)
Revenue was 13% below forecast…
 
Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) – 2QFY13: Strong Portfolio Reversions But Some Vacancy Risks 
Ahead (BUY/S$1.40/Target: S$1.55)
Results slightly above expectations…
 
Venture Corporation (VMS SP) – New Projects To Take
Off In 2013 (BUY/S$7.72/Target: S$9.30) Sluggish growth in 2H12…
 
OSIM International (OSIM SP) – Strong operating earnings exceed expectations (BUY/S$0.153/Target: 
S$1.87)
Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.87…
 
Superbowl Holdings Ltd (BOWL SP, S48) – Technical SELL with +12% potential return
Prices   have   formed   a   couple   of   “shooting   star”   alike candlesticks…
 
Treasury China Trust (TCT SP, LG2U) – Technical BUY with +20.6% potential return
The stock has not been resisted by its 50-day moving average as a condition in our…
 
Civmec (CVL SP, P9D) –
Technical BUY with +9.1% potential return
The  stock  could  be  testing  its  resistance  level  should  it continues to move sidewa
Source: NextView
 
Likely to continue to remain range bound…
 
• The FSSTI remained flat while swinging between gains and losses in the last trading session. 
Currently the index is hovering above its immediate support at 3,020 and a break below points to a 
potential retracement level at 2,970. Only a move above 3,080 could suggest further upside. Watch 
if the lower Bollinger band could offer support as the index could be trending lower.
 
Support: 2,970
Resistance: 3,140
 
In the last trading session…
 
•  The FSSTI lost 6.2pt and opened lower at 3,037.28. The intraday range was from 3,037.28 to 
3,063.
 
•  Within       the       FSSTI       30       stock       components, JMH (+3.54%) and Golden Agri 
(+1.57%) led the gainers while  Noble  (-1.86%)  and  ST  Engineering  (-1.41%)  lost ground.
 
•  Regional bourses ended mixed…
HSI (+0.31%) closed at 21,763.78
SSEC (+0.07%) closed at 2,115.99
ASX (-0.82%) closed at 4,530.57
 
Key dates for SG Economics
25 October          Industrial Production
31 October          Credit Card Bad Debts & Billings
31 October          Bank Loans & Advances
31 October          M1 & M2 Money Supply
31 October          Unemployment Rate
Source: Bloomberg
 




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Today’s Focus

STI underperformed Hang Seng/SSEC post QE3/OMT,

trend to continue with FY13F downgrades and

emergence of inflation worries

HPH Trust - Prospects looking good, BUY on any near

term weakness, TP raised to US$0.88

US markets ended marginally lower as a better US new home

sales (actual +5.7% m-o-m, consensus +3.2% m-o-m) were

offset by weak corporate results. We observed that the Dow

has fallen 2% thus far post QE3 announcement on September

13. This is in stark contrast to the stock market reaction

following the announcement of the first 2 QEs. It highlights

the “law of diminishing returns”. For the Dow, 13000 is the

near-term support, rebound is likely cap at 13275.

Next, we observed that in the period preceding the ECB’s OMT

and FED’s QE3 announcement in September, STI outperformed

many regional indices as Singapore is seen as a safe haven that

offers good yield, while HK/China equity markets performed

poorly. Post QE3, STI has underperformed. Conversely, the

Hang Seng Index performed very well and even China’s SSEC

outperformed the STI. For the local bourse, potential FY13F

earnings downgrades that have yet to fully flow through and

the emergence of inflation worries will still likely cause the STI

to underperform the north Asian markets. For the current

session, STI looks to continue its recent directionless trend.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust’s healthy volume growth did not

translate to similar revenue and earnings growth in 3Q12.

However, FY12F DPU of 6.6UScts looks safe but FY13 DPU

may be affected by absence of capex deferral. Our analyst has

cut FY13F DPU by about 3% to 6.4UScts, to factor in higher

operating costs and the absence of support from further capex

deferral. Macro indicators are trending up in US and China,

and yield compression continues in Singapore. BUY on any

near term weakness, TP raised to US$0.88 (Prev US$ 0.85).

3Q12 results for Cache Logistics Trust were in line. We expect

strong earnings visibility and further uplift from potential

acquisitions in 2013. Maintain HOLD, TP raised to S$1.26 (Prev




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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25-Oct 2012 Thursday 12:40 PM (4202 days ago)            #13
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Wired Daily

 

 

2Q13 results for Mapletree Industrial Trust held steady q-o- q. Operational results stable while reversions remained positive at c19-23% y-o-y. Maintain HOLD with revised TP of S$1.43 (Prev S$ 1.35) as we roll forward our valuations to FY14.

3Q12 results for Sheng Siong Group were slightly ahead

on better margins. We see SSG being capable of adding an average of three stores each year to its total store count

for FY13F and FY14F. By the end of FY12, SSG is expected to have 33 stores (+8 new stores in FY12) with a total retail area of 400,000 sq ft. After factoring in a slightly more robust 3Q12 earnings, our earnings expectation for FY12F

is now revised by +3.8%. Maintain HOLD, TP raised to

S$ 0.51 (Prev S$ 0.47) as we roll over our valuation from

20x blended FY12F/FY13F earnings base to 20x FY13F

earnings.

CapitaRetail China Trust is placing 57m new units or 8.3%

of the total number of units at S$1.51 each. The issue price represents a 5.8% discount to the last closing price. The gross proceeds raised amounts to approximately S$86.1m, with net proceeds after deducting all expenses at S$83.6m. CRCT will be distributing an advance distribution of 3.22cts from the period of 1 Jul to 1 Nov

2012 to existing unit holders on 1 Nov 2012. Our analyst has nudged down FY12 and FY13 DPU by 2% and 6% respectively. Gearing is expected to fall from 30.4% to

29% assuming that the proceeds is used to pare down debt at this point in time. Maintain HOLD call with a slight\y lower TP of S$1.66.

Singapore Airlines will be ordering five more Airbus A380s and another 20 A350s for additional capacity growth and fleet renewal. The firm order commitments are valued at US$7.5bn based on Airbus’ published list prices. Deliveries are due to begin in 2017. SIA currently operates 19 A380-

 

 

800 superjumbos and already had firm orders in place for

20 A350s, for delivery from 2015. As part of the deal, Airbus has agreed to acquire SIA’s five A340-500s, which will be removed from service in the fourth quarter of the

2013 calendar year, in line with the Airline’s policy to maintain a young fleet. This will result in the cessation of non-stop flights between Singapore and Los Angeles and between Singapore and Newark.

Separately, Scoot, the long-haul low-cost subsidiary of

Singapore Airlines, has agreed to acquire twenty Boeing

787 aircraft for delivery commencing in 2014. The twenty fuel-efficient aircraft will be used to replace Scoot’s Boeing

777-200 fleet and facilitate the airline’s ongoing expansion.

Dynasty REIT has decided to suspend its S$956m IPO due to weak market conditions. The dual CNY and SGD denominated REIT would have been the largest IPO in Singapore this year. ARA Asset Management is the sponsor for Dynasty REIT.

Boustead Singapore has joined a consortium developing a mixed-use project in Beijing's Tongzhou district and will invest $20.13m in the venture. This marks Boustead's first foray into commercial and retail developments in China. The consortium - which includes Perennial China Retail Trust and BreadTalk Group, is developing the Beijing Tongzhou Integrated Development in partnership with the subsidiary of a Beijing real estate developer. Total equity investment in the project is around $500m.

The China HSBC Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to a three-month high of 49.1 in October. The uptick in the headline index, along with rises in new orders and output - its two biggest sub- components - and broad improvement in export orders, inventories and prices charged, all signal a turnaround in the world's second-biggest economy.




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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25-Oct 2012 Thursday 12:41 PM (4202 days ago)            #14
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Company

Engro Corporation Limited

D.O.T.

24-Oct-12

Buy/Sell

Share Buy-Back

No.of shares

40,000

S$/shr

0.9000

GKE International Limited

24-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

829,000

0.1565

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd

24-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

567,000

0.0810

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp

24-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

50,000

9.2200

Straco Corporation Limited

24-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

40,000

0.2600

Straco Corporation Limited

23-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

100,000

0.2600

CDW Holdings

23-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

150,000

0.0940

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp

23-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

50,000

9.2300

CDW Holdings Limited

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

30,000

0.0930

Straco Corporation Limited

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

110,000

0.2600

Hotung Investment Hldgs Ltd

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

1,102,000

0.1489

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

50,000

9.2400

Pan-United Corporation Ltd

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

170,000

0.6900

Plastoform Holdings Limited

22-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

2,500,000

0.0349

Sembcorp Industries Ltd

19-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

200,000

5.4335

CDW Holdings

19-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

100,000

0.0930

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp

19-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

50,000

9.2700

CDW Holdings

18-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

205,000

0.0940

GKE International Limited

18-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

363,000

0.1579

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp

18-Oct-12

Share Buy-Back

50,000

9.4100

Plastoform Holdings Limited 18-Oct-12 Share Buy-Back 2,500,000 0.0




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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stand up n wake up
25-Oct 2012 Thursday 12:42 PM (4202 days ago)            #15
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Singapore

 

 

Wired Daily

 

 

Stock Transacted Date Substantial Shareholder/ Director Buy/Sell/

 

 

No of

Shares

 

 

Price Per

 

 

%Issued Cap

Before

 

 

%Issued Cap

 

 

Conv

 

 

('000)

 

 

Share $

 

 

Change After Change

 

 

Cogent Holdings 10-Oct-12 Tan Yeow Khoon * Buy 430 0.11 2.1 2.19

Stamford Tyres 10-Oct-12 Dawn Wee * Buy 113 0.33 31.58 31.63

Stamford Tyres 10-Oct-12 Wee Kok Wah * Buy 113 0.33 16.29 16.34

Swissco Hldgs 10-Oct-12 Yeo Chong Lin Buy 3169 - 6.28 7.01

TA Corp 10-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 250 - 8.57 8.62

Cogent Holdings 09-Oct-12 Tan Yeow Khoon Buy 250 0.12 2.04 2.1

Samko Timber 09-Oct-12 Sampoerna Forestry Buy 315 - 39.79 39.81

SingTel 09-Oct-12 Chua Sock Koong * Buy 1124 3.2 0.09 0.09

Sound Global 09-Oct-12 Wen Yibo Buy 1931 0.52 0.46 0.61

Stamford Tyres 09-Oct-12 Dawn Wee * Buy 9 0.33 31.58 31.58

Stamford Tyres 09-Oct-12 Wee Kok Wah Buy 9 0.33 16.28 16.29

Swissco Holdings 09-Oct-12 Yeo Chong Lin Buy 5410 - 5.03 6.28

TA Corp 09-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 162 - 8.54 8.57

Venture Corp 09-Oct-12 Aberdeen Int'l Fd Mgrs * Buy 360 - 6.89 7.02

Venture Corp 09-Oct-12 Aberdn Asst Mgt PLC &sub * Buy 360 - 23.95 24.08

Aussino Group 08-Oct-12 Samcorp Capital Corp Sell 10668 - 34.06 30.55

Aussino Group 08-Oct-12 Anthony Lim * Sell 10668 0.13 34.23 30.71

Jasper Investments 08-Oct-12 Geoffrey Yeoh Sell 1200 0.06 1.4 1.37

OnionTech 08-Oct-12 Leong Hong Kah Buy 168 - 5.1 5.21

Stamford Tyres 08-Oct-12 Dawn Wee * Buy 70 0.33 31.55 31.58

Stamford Tyres 08-Oct-12 Wee Kok Wah Buy 70 0.33 16.26 16.29

TA Corp 08-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 1000 - 8.32 8.54

8Telecom Intl Hldgs 05-Oct-12 Yeo See Meng * Buy 198 0.13 2.63 2.67

Aussino Group 05-Oct-12 Samcorp Capital Corp Sell 15334 - 39.12 34.06

Aussino Group 05-Oct-12 Anthony Lim * Sell 15334 0.14 39.29 34.23

Jason Parquet 05-Oct-12 Yap Koon Hong * Buy 263 - 9.24 9.49

TA Corp 05-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 881 - 8.13 8.32

Wilmar Int'l 05-Oct-12 Martua Sitorus * Buy 2000 3.18 10.1 10.14

Blumont Group 04-Oct-12 Chan Kern Ming * Sell 108992 - 6.44 0

BRC Asia 04-Oct-12 Lim Siak Meng Buy 1037 0.14 4.64 4.76

China Essence 04-Oct-12 Sanlam Universal Fund PLC Sell 540 - 8.1 7.97

Fraser and Neave 04-Oct-12 M&G Securities * Sell 10145 - 5.02 4.32

Fraser and Neave 04-Oct-12 MAGIM, M&G Ltd, M&G Grp * Sell 10333 - 5.22 4.49

Jason Parquet 04-Oct-12 Yap Koon Hong Buy 7432 0.25 2.08 8.96

Jason Parquet 04-Oct-12 Yap Koon Hong * Buy 300 - 8.96 9.24

Khong Guan Flour 04-Oct-12 Goh Tee Kia * Buy 54 - 7.56 7.77

Oceanus Group 04-Oct-12 Yu De Hua * Sell 24559 - 7.95 6.99

Stamford Tyres 04-Oct-12 Dawn Wee * Buy 20 0.33 31.54 31.55

Stamford Tyres 04-Oct-12 Wee Kok Wah Buy 20 0.33 16.25 16.26

TA Corp 04-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 457 - 8.03 8.13

TA Corp 04-Oct-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 950 - 7.83 8.03

Yanlord Land Grp 04-Oct-12 Aberden Asst Mgt PLC &sub * Buy 1365 - 5.96 6.03

 

 

*Deemed Interest

Source: Business Times; SA: Share Allotment; ST: Share Transfer, B/R: Bonus/Rights Issue; OE: Option Exercise; PL: Placement Shares




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Wired Daily

 

 

Company

CAPITAMALL TRUST

Type

DIVIDEND

Particulars

ESTIMATED SGD 0.0242 LESS TAX

Ex Date

25-Oct-12

Paid/ Payable

29-Nov-12

BRITISH & MALAYAN TRUSTEES LTD KARIN TECHNOLOGY HLDGS LIMITED

BOARDROOM LIMITED

SIN GHEE HUAT CORPORATION LTD. UNION STEEL HOLDINGS LIMITED

AUSGROUP LIMITED AUSGROUP LIMITED

FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST

GEMS TV HOLDINGS LIMITED

K1 VENTURES LIMITED

KIAN ANN ENGINEERING LTD NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD

NOEL GIFTS INTERNATIONAL LTD RYOBI KISO HOLDINGS LTD.

TIONG WOON CORP HOLDING LTD TOTAL ACCESS COMM PUB CO LTD

AMTEK ENGINEERING LTD

ASL MARINE HOLDINGS LTD LTA $500M4.17%N160510

PERTAMA HOLDINGS LIMITED SINGAPURA FINANCE LTD

SWEE HONG LIMITED

ELITE KSB HOLDINGS LIMITED SPINDEX INDUSTRIES LIMITED

CHOSEN HOLDINGS LIMITED CHUAN HUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

EPICENTRE HOLDINGS LIMITED

F J BENJAMIN HOLDINGS LTD HUPSTEEL LTD

OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED

TAI SIN ELECTRIC LIMITED WESTMINSTER TRAVEL LIMITED

EU YAN SANG INTERNATIONAL LTD EU YAN SANG INTERNATIONAL LTD LATITUDE TREE INTL GROUP LTD.

LION ASIAPAC LTD

LION TECK CHIANG LTD

LUM CHANG HOLDINGS LIMITED L.C.DEVELOPMENT LTD

MEMSTAR TECHNOLOGY LTD.

MICRO-MECHANICS (HOLDINGS) LTD OLAM INTERNATIONAL LIMITED PARKSON RETAIL ASIA LIMITED

SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD PEC LTD.

ACE ACHIEVE INFOCOM LIMITED CH OFFSHORE LTD

CH OFFSHORE LTD

PCI LTD

TEE INTERNATIONAL LIMITED NX09100W 190601

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND INTEREST

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

ENTITL. DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND DIVIDEND DIVIDEND

INTEREST

SGD 0.027 ONE-TIER TAX HKD 0.071

SGD 0.02 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.02 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.0025 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0036 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0064 ONE-TIER TAX

010712 - 300912 SGD 0.0256 LESS TAX

010712 - 300912 SGD 0.0015 TAX EXEMPT SGD 0.0095

SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0082 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.007 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.006 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.003 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.004 ONE-TIER TAX THB 1.13 LESS TAX

SGD 0.022 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0175 ONE-TIER TAX

100512 - 091112 4.17% SGD 0.0152 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.06 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.003 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.015 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.018 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0066 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.006 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0047 ONE-TIER TAX

SHARE SPLIT OFFER OF 18 FOR 10

SCRIPDIVSCHEME SGD 0.015 ONE-TIER TAX HKD 0.023 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.002 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.0125 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.0005 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.02 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.04 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.03 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.008 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.025 ONE-TIER TAX

CNY 0.003

SGD 0.02 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.02 ONE-TIER TAX

SGD 0.03 ONE-TIER TAX SGD 0.0125 ONE-TIER TAX

0.025

29-Oct-12

29-Oct-12

30-Oct-12

30-Oct-12

30-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

31-Oct-12

01-Nov-12

01-Nov-12

01-Nov-12

01-Nov-12

01-Nov-12

01-Nov-12

02-Nov-12

02-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

05-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

06-Nov-12

07-Nov-12

08-Nov-12

09-Nov-12

12-Nov-12

12-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

20-Nov-12

22-Nov-12

12-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

14-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

21-Nov-12

21-Nov-12

29-Nov-12

29-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

14-Nov-12

14-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

14-Nov-12

16-Nov-12

16-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

19-Nov-12

12-Nov-12

16-Nov-12

15-Nov-12

20-Nov-12

19-Nov-12

19-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

21-Nov-12

27-Nov-12

20-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

21-Dec-12

20-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

28-Nov-12

22-Nov-12

22-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

20-Nov-12

22-Nov-12

22-Nov-12

20-Nov-12

23-Nov-12

28-Nov-12

26-Nov-12

28-Nov-12

26-Nov-12

26-Nov-12

03-Dec-12

03-Dec-12

03-Dec-12

NX11100X 210601

INTEREST

0.0225

22-Nov-12

03-Dec-12

DATAPULSE TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

26-Nov-12

06-Dec-12

DATAPULSE TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

26-Nov-12

06-Dec-12

SUNRIGHT LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.002 ONE-TIER TAX

26-Nov-12

14-Dec-12

SIN HENG HEAVY MACHINERY LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.0055 ONE-TIER TAX

27-Nov-12

18-Dec-12

KHONG GUAN FLOUR MILLING LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

03-Dec-12

17-Dec-12

KHONG GUAN FLOUR MILLING LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.03 ONE-TIER TAX

03-Dec-12

17-Dec-12

TTJ HOLDINGS LIMITED

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.008 ONE-TIER TAX

04-Dec-12

21-Dec-12

TRANSIT-MIXED CONCRETE LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.01 ONE-TIER TAX

05-Dec-12

28-Dec-12

SINGAPORE PRESS HLDGS LTD

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.17 ONE-TIER TAX

07-Dec-12

21-Dec-12

INDIABULLS PROPERTIES INVTRUST

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.000131 TAX EXEMPT

12-Dec-12

26-Dec-12

TEE INTERNATIONAL LIMITED

DIVIDEND

SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX

14-Dec-12

28-Dec-12

SECOND CHANCE PROPERTIES LTD DIVIDEND SGD 0.005 ONE-TIER TAX 19-Dec-12 28-Dec-12

SECOND CHANCE PROPERTIES LTD DIVIDEND SGD 0.033 ONE-TIER TAX 19-Dec-12 28-Dec-12




....



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CIMB: SIN: Mapletree Industrial Trust - No major surprises TP$1.51

   Inbox
  Attachment Thu, Oct 25, 2012 at 11:11 AM
 

 >------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 |                                                                     23 October 2012|
 |                                                                           Singapore|
 >------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|                                              Company Results Note|
|------------------------------------------------------------------>
 
|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|Mapletree Industrial Trust  [ PDF ]                               |
|------------------------------------------------------------------>
 
|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|No major surprises                                                |
|------------------------------------------------------------------>

|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|MINT SP / MAPI.SI  |  NEUTRAL - Maintained  |  Share Price S$1.40 |
|- Tgt. S$1.51                                                     |
|------------------------------------------------------------------>

|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|REIT | - by Siew Ling TAN / Donald CHUA                           |
|------------------------------------------------------------------>

|------------------------------------------------------------------>
|We believe MINT’s current P/BV of 1.4x has priced in its growth   |
|potential, particularly as passing rents of its under-rented      |
|portfolio catches up with the market and on likely increasing     |
|resistance from tenants amid external demand headwinds and cost   |
|pressures. 2Q/1HFY13 DPUs broadly met our and consensus           |
|expectations, at 26/53% of our FY13 estimates. We nudge DPUs      |
|marginally higher on margin adjustments and raise our DDM-based   |
|target price after lowering our discount rate to 7.3% from 8.1%   |
|previously. Maintain Neutral.                                     |
|---------------------------------------------->




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REIT SINGAPORE

October 23, 2012

 

 

Mapletree Industrial Trust 2QFY13 RESULTS NOTE

MINT SP / MAPI.SI

 

Current S$1.40 SHORT TERM (3 MTH) LONG TERM

 

 

 

 

 

Market Cap Avg Daily Turnover Free Float Target S$1.51

US$1,856m US$2.66m 69.7% Previous Target S$1.31

S$2,273m S$3.30m 1,629 m shares Up/downside 7.9%

 

CIMB Analyst

 

No major surprises

We believe MINT’s current P/BV of 1.4x has priced in its growth potential, particularly as passing rents of its under-rented portfolio catches up with the market and on likely increasing resistance from tenants amid external demand headwinds and cost pressures.

 

Tan Siew Ling

T (65) 62108698

E [email protected]

Donald Chua

T (65) 62108606

E [email protected]

 

2Q/1HFY13 DPUs broadly met our and consensus expectations, at

26/53% of our FY13 estimates. We nudge DPUs marginally higher on

margin adjustments and raise our

DDM-based target price after lowering our discount rate to 7.3% from 8.1% previously. Maintain Neutral.

 

No major surprises

The portfolio remained resilient.

2QFY13 DPU was up 12% yoy on

contributions from acquisitions, positive rental reversions and margin improvement. Qoq, DPU was flat (+1%). Positives came from the marginally stronger portfolio occupancy of 95.0% (1Q: 94.9%). Rental reversions remained fairly strong: flatted factories at +23%; business parks at +8%; stack-up/ ramp-up at 20.7%; and warehouse at

 

+19%. Some concerns could come from the fairly slow take-ups at its BTS/AEIs as pre-commitments remain fairly unchanged from 1Q, though more take-ups could flow

 

through nearer to completion. Warehouse occupancy had also dipped to 73% from 90% in 1Q.

 

Stronger capital management Asset leverage is at 37.2% as at end-2Q, or 39-40% considering developments and AEIs. In 2Q, MINT issued a S$45m 10-year fixed rate note which successfully lengthened average debt tenure to 3.2 yrs from

2.7 yrs. Yet, cost of borrowing fell from 2.5% to 2.3%, due partly to the replacement of expiring interest rate swaps with lower cost ones.

 

Maintain Neutral

Notwithstanding the resilient portfolio, we believe the current P/BV of 1.4x (among the highest in the sector) has likely priced in growth potential, particularly as passing rents of its under-rented portfolio catches up with the market, and on likely increasing resistance from tenants amid external demand headwinds and cost pressures.

 

Share price info

Share price perf. (%)

1M

3M

12M

Relative

1.6

9.7

11

Absolute

0.7

12

23.5

Major shareholders

 

 

% held

Temasek Holdings

 

 

30.3

Capital Research

 

 

5.8

Capital Group

 

 

5.6

 

Results Comparison

 

REIT SINGAPORE

October 23, 2012

Mapletree Industrial Trust 2QFY13 RESULTS NOTE

MINT SP / MAPI.SCurrent S$1.40 SHORT TERM (3 MTH) L

Market Cap Avg Daily Turnover Free Float Target S$1.51

US$1,856m US$2.66m 69.7% Previous Target S$1.31

S$2,273m S$3.30m 1,629 m shares Up/downside 7.9%No major surprises

We believe MINT’s current P/BV of 1.4x has priced in its growth potential, particularly as passing rents of its under-rented portfolio catches up with the market and on likely increasing resistance from tenants amid external demand headwinds and cost pressures.

2Q/1HFY13 DPUs broadly met our and consensus expectations, at

26/53% of our FY13 estimates. We nudge DPUs marginally higher on

margin adjustments and raise our

DDM-based target price after lowering our discount rate to 7.3% from 8.1% previously. Maintain Neutral.

 

No major surprises

The portfolio remained resilient.

2QFY13 DPU was up 12% yoy on

contributions from acquisitions, positive rental reversions and margin improvement. Qoq, DPU was flat (+1%). Positives came from the marginally stronger portfolio occupancy of 95.0% (1Q: 94.9%). Rental reversions remained fairly strong: flatted factories at +23%; business parks at +8%; stack-up/ ramp-up at 20.7%; and warehouse at

 

+19%. Some concerns could come from the fairly slow take-ups at its BTS/AEIs as pre-commitments remain fairly unchanged from 1Q, though more take-ups could flow

 

through nearer to completion. Warehouse occupancy had also dipped to 73% from 90% in 1Q.

 

Stronger capital management Asset leverage is at 37.2% as at end-2Q, or 39-40% considering developments and AEIs. In 2Q, MINT issued a S$45m 10-year fixed rate note which successfully lengthened average debt tenure to 3.2 yrs from

2.7 yrs. Yet, cost of borrowing fell from 2.5% to 2.3%, due partly to the replacement of expiring interest rate swaps with lower cost ones.

 

Maintain Neutral

Notwithstanding the resilient portfolio, we believe the current P/BV of 1.4x (among the highest in the sector) has likely priced in growth potential, particularly as passing rents of its under-rented portfolio catches up with the market, and on likely increasing resistance from tenants amid external demand headwinds and cost pressures.

Share price info

Share price perf. (%)

1M

3M

12M

Relative

1.6

9.7

11

Absolute

0.7

12

23.5

Major shareholders

 

 

% held

Temasek Holdings

 

 

30.3

Capital Research

 

 

5.8

Capital Group

 

 

5.6

 

Results Comparison

FYE Dec (S$ m) 2Q 2Q yoy % chg

FY13 FY12

1Q FY13

qoq % chg

2QFY13 cum

2QFY12 cum

yoy % chg Prev. Comments

FY13F

Revenue

68.2

59.4

14.8

66.9

2.0

135.1

114.4

18.1

262.5

Broadly in line. 2Q: 26; 1H: 52% of full-year

Operating costs

(25.6)

(23.5)

9.3

(24.2)

6.1

(49.8)

(44.9)

10.9

(100.9)

Broadly in line.

EBITDA

42.6

36.0

18.4

42.7

(0.3)

85.3

69.5

22.7

161.5

Broadly in line. 2Q: 26%; 1H: 53% of full-year

EBITDA margin (%)

62.4

60.5

 

63.9

 

63.1

60.7

 

61.6

 

Depn & amort.

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

EBIT

42.6

36.0

18.4

42.7

(0.3)

85.3

69.5

22.7

161.5

Broadly in line

Interest expense

(6.8)

(5.6)

20.4

(7.0)

(3.1)

(13.8)

(10.6)

30.0

(26.7)

Broadly in line

Interest & invt inc

0.1

0.0

145.2

0.1

9.6

0.2

0.1

95.0

0.7

Slightly below.

Associates' contrib

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

Exceptionals & revaln

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

Pretax profit

35.9

30.4

18.2

35.8

0.3

71.7

59.0

21.5

135.5

Broadly in line.

Tax

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

Tax rate (%)

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

Minority interests

-

-

 

-

 

-

-

 

-

 

Net profit

35.9

30.4

18.2

35.8

0.3

71.7

59.0

21.5

135.5

Broadly in line. 2Q: 27%; 1H: 53%

Distr profit

37.5

31.6

18.4

36.9

1.6

74.4

60.7

22.6

140.9

Broadly in line. 2Q: 27%; 1H: 53%

Core net profit

35.9

30.4

18.2

35.8

0.3

71.7

59.0

21.5

135.5

Broadly in line. 2Q: 27%; 1H: 53%

DPU (cts)

2.3

2.1

11.7

2.3

1.3

4.6

4.0

12.9

8.6

Broadly in line. 2Q: 26%; 1H: 53%

 

SOURCE: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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Mapletree Industrial Trust

October 23, 2012

Figure 6: CIMB REIT Overview

 

SREIT

 

 

Last

 

 

Target

 

 

Total return

reported

Last

Price /

Price

 

 

(Prospective

Bloomberg Price as of Mkt Cap

asset

stated

Stated

(DDM-

 

2012

2013 price upside +

Ticker 23 Oct 12 (LC $m)

leverage

NAV

NAV

based)

Rec.

Yield

Yield 2012 yield)

Hospitality

 

 

Ascott Residence Trust ART SP $1.30 $1,472 40.6% 1.37 0.95 $ 1.38 N 6.7% 7.1% 13.6%

Ascendas Hospitality Trust ASHT SP $0.92 $735 37.5% 0.77 1.19 NA NR na 7.8%

CDL Hospitality Trust CDREIT SP $2.04 $1,974 25.2% 1.60 1.28 $ 2.21 N 5.7% 5.9% 14.2%

Far East Hospitality Trust FEHT SP $1.02 $1,628 30.4% 0.93 1.09 NA NR na 5.9%

 

 

Simple Average

33.4%

1.12

6.2%

6.7%

Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Ascendas Reit AREIT SP $2.43 $5,437 32.5% 1.88 1.29 $ 2.66 N 5.7% 5.9% 15.3%

 

 

Cache Logistics Trust CACHE SP $1.23 $863 32.5% 0.92 1.34 $ 1.19 O 6.9% 7.2% 3.5%

Cambridge Industrial Trust CREIT SP $0.66 $797 33.1% 0.62 1.06 NA NR 7.3% 7.7%

Mapletree Logistics Trust MLT SP $1.16 $2,802 37.0% 0.90 1.28 $ 1.25 N 6.2% 6.4% 14.1%

Mapletree Industrial Trust MINT SP $1.40 $2,273 37.2% 1.02 1.37 $ 1.51 N 6.2% 6.5% 14.2%

Sabana Shariah SSREIT SP $1.15 $732 34.1% 1.05 1.09 NA NR 8.1% 8.3%

 

 

Simple Average

34.4%

1.24

6.7%

7.0%

Office

 

 

 

 

 

Frasers Commercial Trust FCOT SP $1.18 $757 39.5% 1.30 0.90 $ 1.21 O 6.0% 7.1% 8.8%

CapitaCommercial Trust CCT SP $1.54 $4,361 30.1% 1.58 0.97 $ 1.48 O 5.1% 5.2% 1.4%

Keppel REIT KREIT SP $1.22 $3,203 44.1% 1.25 0.98 $ 1.26 N 6.4% 6.3% 9.5%

Suntec REIT SUN SP $1.57 $3,510 39.3% 1.98 0.79 $ 1.59 O 5.8% 5.9% 7.3%

 

 

Simple Average

38.3%

0.91

5.8%

6.1%

Retail

 

 

 

 

 

CapitaMall Trust CT SP $2.14 $7,128 38.4% 1.58 1.35 $ 2.43 O 4.6% 4.9% 18.2%

Frasers Centrepoint Trust FCT SP $1.91 $1,572 30.1% 1.53 1.25 $ 2.11 O 5.3% 5.5% 15.5%

Starhill Global REIT SGREIT SP $0.80 $1,545 30.5% 0.95 0.84 $ 0.75 N 5.7% 6.3% -0.4%

Mapletree Commercial Trust MCT SP $1.25 $2,337 37.6% 0.95 1.31 $ 1.14 O 4.8% 5.1% -4.1%

 

 

Simple Average

 

34.2%

 

1.19

 

 

5.1%

5.4%

6.3%

Healthcare

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Parkway Life REIT PREIT SP $2.08 $1,258 36.4% 1.48 1.41 $ 2.11 N 4.8% 5.2%

 

Simple Average

 

36.4%

 

1.41

 

 

4.8%

5.2%

 

Simple average for SIN

 

35.3%

 

1.15

 

 

6.0%

6.3%

 

 

 

Last reported

Last

Price /

Target

Price

 

 

 

Total return

(Prospective

MREIT

 

Price as of Mkt Cap

asset

stated

Stated

(DDM-

 

2012

2013

price upside +

 

Bbg Code

23 Oct 12 (LC $m)

leverage

NAV

NAV

based)

Rec.

Yield

Yield

2012 yield)

Retail

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capitamalls Malaysia Trust CMMT MK $1.80 $3,182 28.4% 1.10 1.64 $ 1.91 O 4.7% 4.9% 10.6%

IGB REIT IGBREIT MK $1.36 $4,624 35.3% 1.01 1.35 $ 1.50 O 4.6% 4.9% 15.0%

Sunway REIT SREIT MK $1.51 $4,075 35.3% 1.01 1.49 $ 1.63 O 5.1% 5.2% 13.0%

Pavilion REIT PREIT MK $1.37 $4,116 19.1% 0.96 1.43 $ 1.42 O 4.9% 5.3% 8.3%

 

 

Simple Average

29.5%

1.48

4.8%

5.1%

Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Axis REIT AXRB MK $3.03 $1,383 24.0% 2.07 1.47 NA NR 5.1% 5.3%

 

Simple Average

24.0%

1.47

5.1%

5.3%

 

Simple average for MAL

28.4%

1.47

4.9%

5.1%

 

Simple average for ALL

33.8%

1.22

5.7%

6.1%

SOURCES: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS, BLOOMBERG

This message was edited by stand up n wake up on 25-Oct-2012 @ 12:56 PM




....



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